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A Humanities Ranking of Spanish universities based on experts’ opinion

As part of the MOOC Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Applying Structured Expert Judgment I had to conduct an actual elicitation with experts. Structured Expert Judgment is designed for and implemented in areas in which there is an evident lack of data and hence, we are forced to rely on experts to make predictions. This is not the case of scientometrics, where the volume of data is actually increasing exponentially with the transition to online collaboration, commenting and dissemination of scientific work.

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Structured Expert Judgment

Quantifying uncertainty or trying to make predictions on subject for which there is an evident lack of data can be challenging. Hence turning into experts seems reasonable, given the consideration that these may not agree on their judgments. The Structured Experts Judgment Method or Cooke’s Method, named after Roger Cooke who formulated such methodology, aims at treating experts judgment as scientific data in a methodologically transparent way. Structured judgment method may pursue three goals according to Cooke & Gossens (2008):

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